PA BB Harvests
#41
Thread Starter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 491
RE: PA BB Harvests
What I heard Alt say is "More big bucks" not more and bigger bucks.
You may in fact hae heard Alt say there would be more big buck, but that does not mean he never said there would be more and bigger buck than we have ever seen before and I have it in hard copy from an interview in PA Outdoor Times. He also said AR would double the number of 8 PT. buck and I have that in print and that is a lie and he knew it was a lie .
As for refraining from shooting BB's not helping to enhance the buck kill, thats just plain ridiculous. It cant become a big buck if it dies as a knothead. PERIOD! Sure some will die from other causes. Sure, some will still be shot as AL deer. No, not all will make it. BUT SOME WILL!!!
#42
RE: PA BB Harvests
Apparently , you are incapable of handling more than one concept at a time in a discussion. I did not say that saving BB wouldn't increase the buck harvest the following year. I said that saving BB while reducing the herd means more more adult doe will be harvested ,which in turn results in fewer BB being produced ,which will result in fewer BB and lower antlered harvests in the future. Now unless you can provide some facts or a logical rebuttal to refute that claim, I would conclude that you have no idea of how decreased BB harvests effect future buck harvests.
The rest of us do understand though, that given enough various numbers and statstics to selectively utilize, plenty of time, a calculator and a conniving mind anyone can twist and turn the numbers and by applying his own THEORIES can make any point he wants to.
#43
Thread Starter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 491
RE: PA BB Harvests
The rest of us do understand though, that given enough various numbers and statstics to selectively utilize, plenty of time, a calculator and a conniving mind anyone can twist and turn the numbers and by applying his own THEORIES can make any point he wants to.
If that is true why aren't you capable of formulating a credible rebuttal? The PGC stats clearly show that saving more BB led to the harvest of more adult doe and a reduced anterless harvest. This in turn will lead to fewer BB being born and fewer BB that will survive to become 1.5's that can be saved by AR.
#44
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3,236
RE: PA BB Harvests
The PGC stats clearly show that saving more BB led to the harvest of more adult doe and a reduced anterless harvest.
Did I read that correctly? Did you say that under AR we have had a declining AL harvest? And that we harvested more doe? The more doe part is what we need. The declining AL harvest number I question though. You seem to have all the figures at hand so give me the AL harvest numbers for the last 5 years please. And show me the declining AL harvest.
#45
Thread Starter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 491
RE: PA BB Harvests
Did you say that under AR we have had a declining AL harvest? And that we harvested more doe? The more doe part is what we need.
For every BB saved hunters have to shoot at least 2 adult doe, in order to reduce the herd , which means 4 fewer fawns/doe the following year and two fewer male fawns/BB saved.
The harvests stats since 1987 are available on page 71 of the hunting digest.
#46
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3,236
RE: PA BB Harvests
DD
You get an A+ for reciting stats.
You get an F- for using the scientific method.
Although the 2003 AL harvest was down from 2002, The AL harvest for 2002 was an absolute all time high record. If you take a ten year average of the AL harvest, you get an AL average of 278,678. The 2003 AL harvest was still above average at 322,620. I think it is negligent to state that there is something wrong with this normal fluctuation first off, and then attribute some kind of negative effect in relation to the BB harvest secondly. BTB was right in the statement that you use the stats to make your point of the day, while neglecting any real scientific study of the statistics as a whole.
I could make any point I would want to if I only used one or two years stats as a model. Look at the 1991 Buck harvest of 149,598. We didn't have AR then and, according to your method, 50,000 hunters went WITHOUT their prized forkie that year..
Oh my God, I bet they were pi$$ed!
You get an A+ for reciting stats.
You get an F- for using the scientific method.
Although the 2003 AL harvest was down from 2002, The AL harvest for 2002 was an absolute all time high record. If you take a ten year average of the AL harvest, you get an AL average of 278,678. The 2003 AL harvest was still above average at 322,620. I think it is negligent to state that there is something wrong with this normal fluctuation first off, and then attribute some kind of negative effect in relation to the BB harvest secondly. BTB was right in the statement that you use the stats to make your point of the day, while neglecting any real scientific study of the statistics as a whole.
I could make any point I would want to if I only used one or two years stats as a model. Look at the 1991 Buck harvest of 149,598. We didn't have AR then and, according to your method, 50,000 hunters went WITHOUT their prized forkie that year..
Oh my God, I bet they were pi$$ed!
#47
Thread Starter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 491
RE: PA BB Harvests
Although the 2003 AL harvest was down from 2002, The AL harvest for 2002 was an absolute all time high record. If you take a ten year average of the AL harvest, you get an AL average of 278,678. The 2003 AL harvest was still above average at 322,620. I think it is negligent to state that there is something wrong with this normal fluctuation first off, and then attribute some kind of negative effect in relation to the BB harvest secondly. BTB was right in the statement that you use the stats to make your point of the day, while neglecting any real scientific study of the statistics as a whole.
I could make any point I would want to if I only used one or two years stats as a model. Look at the 1991 Buck harvest of 149,598. We didn't have AR then and, according to your method, 50,000 hunters went WITHOUT their prized forkie that year..
Oh my God, I bet they were pi$$ed!
Oh my God, I bet they were pi$$ed!
#48
Nontypical Buck
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 3,236
RE: PA BB Harvests
The 10 yr. avg. anterless harvest is irrelevant since the herd increased by 30% during that period . Therefore, in order to reduce the herd ,larger anterless harvests are required and Alt said the harvest of 352K anterless in 2002 allowed the herd to increase by 1.6%. The anterless harvest in 2003 was the first time hunters reduced the percentage of fawns in the anterless harvest fro 46% to 39%. That is why there is only one year of stats that show the negative impact of trying to save BB.
You proved us right in that massive AL harvests are necessary to control the herd and not something to bellyache about when it suits you and then support when it suits you
But the point you made is not valid since the highest buck harvest prior to 1991 was 170K in 1990. So 20.5K hunters didn't harvest a buck, not the 50K you claim.
You say that 40,000 hunters went without their prized forkie and got a doe as a consolation prize. History shows that those numbers of successfull buck hunters cannot be consistantly maintained and were an abberation of the norm in the first place.
Thanks.
#49
Thread Starter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 491
RE: PA BB Harvests
You proved us right in that massive AL harvests are necessary to control the herd and not something to bellyache about when it suits you and then support when it suits you
History shows that those numbers of successfull buck hunters cannot be consistantly maintained and were an abberation of the norm in the first place.